ECONOMIC UPDATE: It's One Big Guessing Game
A major factor that has brought down inflation is the sharp sell-off of oil over the last several months
Where equities and economies are headed, for the most, is a guessing game since there are so many wild cards that have been dealt that no one can predict how they will be played.
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The Iran War is heating up and the hotter it gets, the higher oil prices will rise.
Importantly, a major factor that has brought down inflation is the sharp sell-off of oil over the last several months, which had Brent crude trading in the $70 per barrel range. Among the reasons for the lower prices was because China, the world’s second-largest economy and the biggest importer of oil, was slowing down.
Now, Brent crude is around $83 and, should the United States and Israel have a military confrontation with Iran, Brent will spike. And if prices rise to the $130 per barrel range, it will crash economies and equity markets.
And as we detail in this and previous Trends Journals, the Israel War is bringing down travel and business in many Middle East nations, thus already weakened economies will weaken further.
Gamblers Game
On the gambler’s side of the economy, it’s all about U.S. and EU interest rates.
How fast will the Fed Heads lower them, how low will they go… that is the question.
At many levels of the economic casino, the lower interest rates fall, the cheaper it is to bet. For example, when the Banksters radically lowered interest rates to fight the COVID War back in 2020, it was happy days for IPOs.
According to The Wall Street Journal, with interest rates in the zero range, U.S. startups doubled in 2021 from the year earlier to more than $300 billion in 2021, and so did their valuations.
But when the Fed began to rapidly raise interest rates in 2022, the higher rates rose the deeper the IPO slump, as venture funding slumped nearly $170 billion in 2022 and 2023.
TREND FORECAST: Minus some hi-tech/new-tech ventures that have a “make-money because the product is unique and advanced,” we forecast that until/or if interest rates go down steeply, the IPO market, again with few exceptions, will languish.
Glooming Brightly
How’s this for shockingly real, real estate news from today’s WSJ, which is old news for Trends Journal subscribers, since we had forecast that big or small, high end or low end, the office building bust would be widespread:
The Real-Estate Downturn Comes for America’s Premier Office Towers
Rents at highest-end buildings fall and rate of leasing slows
The highest quality office buildings have had much better success navigating the industry’s turmoil. Now, even premier towers are starting to wobble.
Rents at the highest-end buildings have been falling, while the rate of leasing has been slowing. Tenants have become more sensitive to costs in a world of higher interest rates and lingering concerns about a possible economic slowdown, market participants say.
Again, since 2020 when the COVID War was launched and people were forced to work from home, we had forecast an office building bust. And, while the bullshit being spewed by the mainstream media back then was that people would commute to their offices, and “It’ll come back” following the summer holiday season … we had forecast the opposite.
We noted that after staying home week after week, month after month and year after year, workers realized how much they hated to waste their lives in their car, bus or train and spend their money on commuting.
And on the other side, office building tenants realized that their staff did not have to come in five days a week, and with employees working from home, companies would need less cubicle space and that would save them a lot of rent money.
Again, reporting what we had forecast when it was in opposition to what the mainstream media was reporting back then… the WSJ noted today that:
In the fourth quarter, 62% of companies offered some form of remote work, up from 51% one year ago, according to Scoop. On average, those companies with hybrid strategies required workers in the office 2.5 days a week in October, Scoop said. In 2021 and 2022, many companies still expected to bring workers back five days a week and were leasing space with that in mind.
TREND FORECAST: Totally absent from this “major” article in the WSJ are the dire implications on the banking system when landlords default on their loans because tenants have downsized and/or have not renewed their leases. Therefore, get ready for the BANKS GO BUST, Top Trend of 2024 to not only cause hundreds of small and medium-size banks to go bust, but it will be an economic shock heard around the world.
One-Sided Rally
While U.S. equities are riding high, it’s a one-sided spike. As the data shows, a few of the hi-techs are driving it higher while most of the equities are on a down note.
Tech Leads S&P 500 To Records, Others Lag
The S&P 500 is back at record levels for the first time in two years. Information technology is the only one of the index’s 11 sectors that can say the same.
Home to the likes of Microsoft, Apple, and Nvidia, the tech sector is riding the mania over artificial intelligence and has propelled the market to a record close in five of the past six trading sessions. The S&P 500 is up 2.5% to start 2024, while the tech segment rose 5.9%.
The 10 other sectors are trading an average of 15% below their all-time highs, and none have set a record in January. The equal-weighted S& P 500, which gives the same status to the smallest and largest companies in the index, is down 0.3% this year. – WSJ 29 January 2024
WSJ also notes that according to Bespoke Investment Group, “If six of the biggest tech stocks were to pull back to their 200-day moving averages, it would knock about 5% off the S&P 500.”
Thus, it is clearly a gambler game.
Let’s go back to when equities boomed when the Feds dropped interest rates to the zero range to fight the COVID War when it began in 2020.
While markets should have crashed when politicians locked down the nation, it was wild market time when record-low interest rates and trillions of dollars of free money were pumped into the economy. As a result, back then, the market’s rally was much broader with seven sectors hitting a record by January 2022.
TREND FORECAST: Again, we are living in unprecedented times. World War III has begun, and until there is a major military confrontation that involves the United States, China, Russia and/or NATO, it will not become official. And as we have also forecast, there will be a major military action—be it real or false flag—that will escalate the Ukraine War so Kyiv can get more funding and armaments they need to fight Russia.
And oil prices, which are on the rise, are also a major wild card. Again, should Brent crude spike to the $130 per barrel range as a result of the wars, equity markets and economies across the globe will crash.
On the financial side, once again, the OFFICE BUILDING BUST will in turn make BANKS GO BUST, which we forecast will hit the system this year. And when several medium and small banks go under, so too will the U.S. equity markets.
Hello Gerald...
As long as the FED exists and the IMF EZB under Fractional Reserve Banking by selectivelites there is no Economy... it is a shitshow.
To understand this in a wider perspective... this is what they plan:
Planet Auschwitz is their ultimate Goal.
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/planet-auschwitz
Furthermore you must not make the mistake and isolate this technology..
To get a clear perspective of this technology you must understand that this is part of a wider plan... a grand plan with Planet Auschwitz being the Ultimate Goal.
The complementary technologies where Neural Link fits in are:
Neural Lace BCI ==> Nanotechnology to read and write Brainwave patterns
Neural Link ==> Amplifies NL BCI and connects it to 5G STARLINK
STARLINK ==> A Military (IDF Unit8200) controlled AI Warfare Infrastructure designed for Planet Auschwitz.
Quantum Computers ==> Designed to collect Data and compute the massive amount of Data acquired from Humanity in order to control Humanity via AI
Artificial Intelligence AI ==> AI is the Operating System of Quantum Computers... a machine designed to control all of Humanity... AI will be the Machine learning God of Planet Auschwitz... and there will be no escape. AI is the operating System of a Quantum Computer... a Machine learning System that feeds of the Input data of the Human Race.
Tensor Cores ==> How evil these people are. Tensor cores are AI cores within your CPU that connect directly to AI and operate as the eyes and ears of AI that collect all Data and send it back to the AI Mainframe.
If AI is Communism... Tensor Cores are your Personal STASI / Gestapo that you don't even know exists.
Every Computer Chip will connect automatically to A via Tensor Cores... that is every device.
Boston Dynamics / Tesla ==> Now that they have your real time location they can send in Autonomous Robots in any shape or form to collect you and anyone you talked to if they say so.
ARC CPU ==> Similar to Tensor Cores. ARC is a CPU within the CPU. It is a built in Backdoor hardwired.
Difference between ARC and TENSOR CORES is that TENSOR CORES connect to AI and the infrastructure is not complete.
ARC provides a backdoor to every CPU now.
TALPIOT ISRAEL GRADUATES CREATED ARC PROCESSOR CPU THAT SITS WITHIN THE INTEL MANAGEMENT SYSTEM CPU
https://www.bitchute.com/video/sz3z6Zq2oiwJ/
And this is not even scratching the surface.
==> ARGUS Inside every car is a piece of Argus Software that claims to be "Security" but in reality is a backdoor to every car that gives Israel the power to kill everyone driving their car and make it look like an accident.
CLEARVIEW AI ==> Faicial Recognition. Collects all the Facial Data from everywhere and stores it into an AI Databank
GENE HARVESTING / GENETIC DATABANK ==> Gene Technology Alliance Foundation (GTA). The chairman is actually the father of Queensland Premier, Annastacia Palaszczuk Henry Palaszczuk.
The ultimate goal is this: GENETICALLY TARGETED BIOLOGICAL WARFARE
Add to this:
VOICE RECOGNITION DATABANK
FINGERPRINT DATABANK
EYE RECOGNITION DATABANK
And you get this:
Predictive Policing ==> Predictive policing tries to harness the power of information, geospatial technologies and evidence-based intervention models to reduce crime and improve public safety.
In short: Minority Report! AI collects the Data and calculates the possibility of you for a future crime.
Question:
What would Adolf Hitler have done with this Technology at his mercy?
Unit 8200
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/israels-unit-8200-alumina-and-the
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/mk-ultra-covid-19-unit8200-israel
Project Omega
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/project-omega-the-dark-side-of-elon
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/project-omega-ai-government
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/why-the-government-pushes-digitalization
AI WAR
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/klaus-schwab-darpa-harvard-elon-musk
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/ai-cyber-attack-2024-how-it-will
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/ai-the-machine-learning-god
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/quantum-fascism-the-trojan-horse
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/optimus-maximus-preparing-for-the
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/the-creation-that-outgrew-the-creator
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/quantum-fascism-a-glitch-in-the-matrix
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/the-final-battle-of-a-war-unseen
Elon Musk
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/elon-musk-and-the-forever-war
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/elon-musk-revisited
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/elon-musk-and-the-world-war-in-ukraine
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/tunnel-vision-why-the-hyperloop-is
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/suing-richard-branson-and-elon-musk
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/democracy-or-dictatorship
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/quantum-revolution-death-penalty-cef
In the end it is us or them.
https://fritzfreud.substack.com/p/do-we-really-have-to-kill-them-all
Proof me wrong... you only proof me right.